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Special Situation

+1

Sep 6, 2026

Digit Out of the Cage

Agility will be the only listed U.S. humanoid pure-play, with a factory rated for 10,000 robots a year and paid deployments at Amazon, GXO, Schaeffler, Toyota, and Mercado Libre. However, at $13.40/share, you're paying $4.51B for just $1.78M of FY2025 revenue.

Deep Dive

+1

Aug 27, 2026

$13.8M Data Center Option

Fuel Tech trades at 1.6x sales with no debt and $29.6M of cash, ~70% of its market value. Strip the cash out and the operating business is worth ~$13.8M, with the data center pipeline as a free option.

Quick Analysis

+1

Aug 24, 2026

Deckers Gets Marked Down

A two-brand, share-gaining footwear business at ~12x earnings, ~40% ROE, and ~$1.1B of FCF, priced like it's done growing. Whether it's cheap or a value trap comes down to whether HOKA keeps its pricing power.

RVPH

+1

Aug 20, 2026

Teva's Fingerprints on Reviva

Reviva pushed its Phase 3 back a year, and the stock is down ~27% since my June write-up. Two developments matter more: (1) a patent filing that stretches exclusivity to 2046 and (2) evidence Teva has studied brilaroxazine since 2023.

BRUN

+5

Aug 16, 2026

Five More Earnings Updates!

Five quarterly updates on names from the write-up archive. I compare against guidance and discuss what actually matters underneath the headline numbers.

AWMLF

+1

Aug 13, 2026

Pentagon's Missing Metal

A US$28M company owns the largest known undeveloped indium resource in the US. The US imports 100% of its indium, China controls 70% of supply, and the Pentagon has started soliciting purchases for the stockpile.

CELH

+6

Aug 10, 2026

Six Earnings Updates!

A very busy earnings week across the names from past write-ups. The market mostly traded the headline while the filings told a more specific story.

UUUU

+5

Aug 2, 2026

Five Names Worth Revisiting

A fresh look at five names from the archive, plus a quick recap of the market backdrop. For each name, I cover what happened to the business while the stock moved, where the mispricing has widened, and whether I'm adding at current prices.

LAES

+1

Jul 27, 2026

Quantum Upside for $0.24/Share

SEALSQ trades at $2.43, just 11% above its net cash, so you pay close to nothing for an $18M secure-chip business and get its post-quantum and quantum-computing story on top.

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Write-ups and models on asymmetric stocks and macro themes. Built on 10+ years studying top investors/funds, and 500,000+ words of published guides.

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